Hi ZS, assuming that whether or one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent ordeals. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if that must be your is actually asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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